So what's the best way to farm the event cards?

(Fr0stPh03niX) #1

I had bought 11 Hexad equipment cases (along with the Hexad trinket) and only got 1 frigging Nader event loadout card out of them. Rest were trash leads including 1 silver. I want to know that if buying the boosters is the right way to go and stacking the drop chance up to 100% or was I simply unlucky with my first few purchases?

P.S. - I know that Hexad elite cases have way more favourable drop percentages if one is simply going after that, but
since am broke as hell now I wanna gather some data on what’s the most efficient way to farm the cards without it.

(ImSploosh) #2

Well Elite Cases only have a 10% chance which is still low. So far it appears like these cards may be too difficult to obtain. I could be wrong though. I’d rather have the 1000 credit equipment cases give a chance so I could spend my million credits to get some cards lol. I like how we can exchange our credits for hexads, but the conversion seems way too low for the chance of getting a card.

I feel like I’m missing something here.

(MarsRover) #3

What is the drop chance for the 300 Hexwhatever casee?

(TitaniumRapture) #4

@MarsRover said:
What is the drop chance for the 300 Hexwhatever casee?

1%

(MisterBadmin) #5

Depends on the amounts of Credits and time you have to burn.

If you are going for the Special Edition loadouts and don’t care about the results of the eye vote, avoid the colored cases like the plague. They have a 1% chance to have a SE card, and cost between 250 and 350 Hexthingers (this is my technical name for this event’s currency, deal with it) each. In order to get 100 cases (the amount where it is expected to get ONE SE card), it would be somewhere on the order of 30,000 Hexthingers. You could buy 100 boosters for that, which would guarantee a SE Case drop at the first opportunity.

So, given that cases are out and boosters are in, the question becomes how much you want to invest, both time and Credit-wise. A friend of mine only has so much time to play during the event, but has a huge Credit stash. I did some math to determine that he could probably manage 7 cards with a 600k investment in the time available.

Assuming you don’t have a massive Credit stash, the best way to get them is to play smart and as much as you can. Whenever you have enough Hexthingers, buy a booster, up to a point. At some point, you start investing a lot into getting the single case you are gunning for, which can hurt you in getting as many as you can. I’d ballpark something around 15, but it’s your call.

Save your Credits as well. Buy Hexthingers with them if you can, and use those to feed your booster train.

(XavienX) #6

@TitaniumRapture said:

@MarsRover said:
What is the drop chance for the 300 Hexwhatever casee?

1%

Bruh, why are you complaining you got ONE event card with ONE PERCENT.

(ThunderZsolt) #7

@MisterBadmin said:
Save your Credits as well. Buy Hexthingers with them if you can, and use those to feed your booster train.

I came to the same conclusion after my own calcualtions. Let those proxy mains buy the cases, lol.
Also event elite cases still have 85% chance to drop a silver or gold, which is lower than the regular elite case (95% chance to drop trash), but I still wouldn’t buy it. If you are planning to buy elite cases anyway, then you might buy those.

Another intersting thing is that how much drop chance is worth to buy if you have a reasonable amount of this new event stuff.

Considering that you have a 30% chance to get a case after each game, if you buy 10% drop chance, that is still only 3%/game. If you play 10 games, it equals 27% chance to get an event case - of yourse it goes up higher if you play more, but you might as well increase the chance further.
For example if you increase your chance to 15%, (4,5% after each game) if you have time for 10 games, your chance increases to get one case from 27% to 47% - double chance for 1,5x investment.

I’m not an expert in calculating probabilities (only learned as much as I had to on the university) so I can’t calculate the optimal chance to buy, but I suggest to always buy more drop chance as soon as you can. I think you will get a case before reaching 20%, which still takes a while.
For this reason, if the end of the event is getting close, coloured cases will become a better deal, because you won’t have the time to get the drops, even if you have like 10% chance after each game (and that is if you have 33% chance)

If you want to spend your money on the event, the booster trinket is a good choice, and you keep it after the event ends iirc.
I suggest to avoid buying elite cases, and I also find the event stuff bundles slightly overpriced (for real money), but if you have spare credits, feel free to burn them on those.

My goal is to get 1 case during the event

(n-x) #8

@ThunderZsolt said:

@MisterBadmin said:

Considering that you have a 30% chance to get a case after each game, if you buy 10% drop chance, that is still only 3%/game. If you play 10 games, it equals 27% chance to get an event case - of yourse it goes up higher if you play more, but you might as well increase the chance further.

Isnt that the same error in reasoning people did during the ReV event? The percentage isnt culmulative. If you start with 3% and you dont get a drop, this doesnt increase your chance after the next game. You will have the same 3% after each game.

(Aazhyd) #9

Play a lot and buy cases with what you earn. Highest satisfaction ratio.

(AlbinMatt) #10

Pro tip: Sacrificing certain creatures can give you a better chance at getting cases.
Pigeons go for+2%
Goats, ox, cows, those can net you+10%
Human adults are super rewarding, gives you +25%
Human children are the best, if they’re virgins, it’s a guaranteed elite case drop.

Honestly, screw the RNG number crunchers that designed this, it’s an otherwise fun event, with great skins to boot. (Though I would’ve loved special colour swaps for each company)

Edit: they censored an engineering piece? The F bombas sure, but screws?

(TitaniumRapture) #11

@ThunderZsolt said:

@MisterBadmin said:
Save your Credits as well. Buy Hexthingers with them if you can, and use those to feed your booster train.

Considering that you have a 30% chance to get a case after each game, if you buy 10% drop chance, that is still only 3%/game. If you play 10 games, it equals 27% chance to get an event case - of yourse it goes up higher if you play more, but you might as well increase the chance further.
For example if you increase your chance to 15%, (4,5% after each game) if you have time for 10 games, your chance increases to get one case from 27% to 47% - double chance for 1,5x investment.

I’m not an expert in calculating probabilities (only learned as much as I had to on the university) so I can’t calculate the optimal chance to buy, but I suggest to always buy more drop chance as soon as you can. I think you will get a case before reaching 20%, which still takes a while.
For this reason, if the end of the event is getting close, coloured cases will become a better deal, because you won’t have the time to get the drops, even if you have like 10% chance after each game (and that is if you have 33% chance)

The point of boosters is to increase chance you get event case instead of regular equipment case. I would say that probability of dropping a case after match is same after every match. There is not anything like limited number of games with guaranteed drop so your probability would increase with increasing number of games played.

(TitaniumRapture) #12

@OmeletteFromOuterSpace said:
Play a lot and buy cases with what you earn. Highest satisfaction ratio.

Yeah because there is not anything better than to drop bunch of overpriced lead / iron cards. :smiley:

(Aazhyd) #13

@TitaniumRapture said:

@OmeletteFromOuterSpace said:
Play a lot and buy cases with what you earn. Highest satisfaction ratio.

Yeah because there is not anything better than to drop bunch of overpriced lead / iron cards. :smiley:

If you rather put real money in the game to get some cosmetic changes, go ahead.

(AlbinMatt) #14

@TitaniumRapture said:

@OmeletteFromOuterSpace said:
Play a lot and buy cases with what you earn. Highest satisfaction ratio.

Yeah because there is not anything better than to drop bunch of overpriced lead / iron cards. :smiley:

At this point, I just play for the stock market minigame. It’s like an actual stock market y’know. You might not get the biggest slice off the pie, but you’re helping your stocks anyways.

@OmeletteFromOuterSpace said:

@TitaniumRapture said:

@OmeletteFromOuterSpace said:
Play a lot and buy cases with what you earn. Highest satisfaction ratio.

Yeah because there is not anything better than to drop bunch of overpriced lead / iron cards. :smiley:

If you rather put real money in the game to get some cosmetic changes, go ahead.

Or you could just bribe the stock owner, and get the fattest cut ever, like the borguise pig that you are.

(TitaniumRapture) #15

@AlbinMatt said:

@TitaniumRapture said:

@OmeletteFromOuterSpace said:
Play a lot and buy cases with what you earn. Highest satisfaction ratio.

Yeah because there is not anything better than to drop bunch of overpriced lead / iron cards. :smiley:

At this point, I just play for the stock market minigame. It’s like an actual stock market y’know. You might not get the biggest slice off the pie, but you’re helping your stocks anyways.

Yeah of course, that event is just bonus. Btw i dont play for stock market minigame because i dont care about proxy.

(ClemClem7) #16

If we take a 30% chance of case drop every 15mn of game play, and a drop rate of 2 hexadecimal/minute, you will have enough hexadics to buy 10 boosters after 25 hours intensive play. After that much time at 10 boosters, you have 95% chance of a 100%special edition case drop.
If you don’t buy boosters, it’ll take a lot more time to drop a case (probability, not stats on lucky players who drop their SE with 1% chance after 2 matches) and then you’ll have a ton of hexadics. If you buy more boosters, you’ll not have enough hexadics between each 100% case. (it doesn’t take into account hexadics bundles)

If someone has other numbers I’m open to all discussion, I just did basic maths but I could have been wrong on some point.

Edit: after a bit of simulations (no more probabilities but statistics), it seems that on average, you get the 100% case after about 10 9,3 hours, the maximum registered on my simulations is 35 hours (with 10000 tests)
Simulation: you play 15 mn, you buy a booster if you can with the hexadics you dropped, and you continue until you drop a SE case. It take into account the matches you do with less boosters until you drop the case. This may be more accurate than probabilities as it represents the real way players do it in general.
In this way, after 25 hours you have now 99,1% 99,55% chance of SE case, (+/- 1%)

Edit 2: changed some stats because of a wrong value for the booster’s price I had

(DecemberMan) #17

Wait, you can buy Hexad equipment cases? I can only see Elites for real life money.

(MisterBadmin) #18

You can buy the Green/Purple/Blue equipment cases from the cell phone on the main page. Each has a 1% change to give a Shell Shock loadout.

If you want the special edition loadouts, DO NOT buy them. They are roughly the same cost as a single booster, which are much more likely to get you cards. I explained this in detail a few posts up.

(MarsRover) #19

Yup, 300 hexadicks cases are a very bad investment unless you have a bunch of unused credits and you won’t be playing the game during the event. Otherwise boosters FTW.

(averagerussian) #20

I stacked boosters up to 11% and got a card. A friend of mine bought only a booster and got a case drop with 2% chance.
I suggest buying boosters only. I wouldn’t stack up to more than 20% chance because it’s a waste, once you get the card all the boosters get wiped.