What is the chances of getting a CW even case?

(Osm0sis) #1

Just wondering…

(Mr-Penguin) #2

If we had known, nobody would’ve played during the damn event. Played for about 20 hours or so and still not a single one, while others have gotten 4 this entire weekend.

It’s probably some impossibly low percentage.

(Osm0sis) #3

I got one :slight_smile:

(Mr-Penguin) #4

“I would tell you what I think of you, but there isn’t enough asterisks in the world.”
-Proxy

The quote goes like that, right?

(MarsRover) #5

I estimate I played about 170 matches since the event started. Got 0 cases. OK time for math.

drop rate - chances of me getting 0 cases
5% - 0.016%
3% - 0.056%
1% - 18%
0.5% - 60%
0.3% - 84%

Assuming RNG didn’t totally screw me and taking into account other multi-hour zero drop reports I conclude that the drop rate is somewhere between 0.5% and 1%.

(FalC_16) #6

I also got one randomly dropped right after 7 PM on Friday. My first match and boom.

I’m like…OK I think I know what I am doing all weekend…48 hours later…it was just that one card still… so I guess the odds are pretty slim. And you know what Han Solo said…