I completely disagree with the current drop rates for both the elite and non-elite Containment War cases. Paying for an elite Containment War case and only getting a 10% chance to get a Containment War card from it is ridiculous. Even paying for the 10 and getting the free guaranteed 1 card, you have a ~35% chance to get only the 1 guaranteed CW card (in other words, ~65% chance to get a CW card from the non-guaranteed elite cases). I would be hesitant to pay $10 to get those kinds of odds, let alone $35.
For the non-elite CW cases, doing some quick math with the drop rate, you have to open ~350 non-elite cases to have the same ~65% chance of getting a CW card from the 10 elite cases. Which is ridiculous as well. I’ve played a lot during the CW update (maybe approaching 40 hours now), and I’ve maybe only earned/bought ~100 cases. I could have had ~70 more if I didn’t have mercs that I wanted to unlock as well. Assuming I’ve miscounted and actually had 200 cases, I still have less than a 50/50 chance of getting a CW case. Assuming I’m earning 100 cases every 20 hours I log, I would need to play 70 hours to get the 65% chance of having at least a single CW card.
And then there’s the fact that I have no control over what CW card I would even receive, so it’s entirely possible I’ll get it for a class I don’t even play, with weapons I don’t even like, and perks that aren’t even useful. Let’s assume I play at least 12 of the 17 current mercs, and I’m content with 50% of their cards. Assuming I even get a card, I have a 35% chance that I’m going to get a card that I will even use.
Throwing it all together, I have little hope of ever getting a card I want unless I drop a ridiculous amount of money on the game, or I literally give up my life and play the game more than I already do, which is already taking up a large portion of my free time. Both are terrible options. So I basically have to rely on RNGesus, which is frustrating and not reliable at all.
And it’s only after I post all this do I realize all the recurring 65s and 35s that pop up. Totally unintentional, unless it wasn’t. insert illuminati theory here
tl;dr: odds of getting a CW card: 65% chance of at least 1 card from 10 elite cases, or 350 non-elite cases. assuming I play 12/17 of the current mercs and will use 50% of their cards (well above the norm for most players), i have a 65% chance of getting a CW card I’d use from any given drop. The odds are shit, they need to be higher, or the option to pick what CW card you’d want.