Event Card Farming Math

(ThePigVomit) #21

They admitted in past events that there was a ‘pity’ timer.

I do not know, for certain, if this go has a similar feature. However, I would presume consistency.

(bgyoshi) #22

@M4st0d0n said:
AFAIK having a chance per minute is not the same as having a chance cumulatively increasing per minute.

Dawg your maths are just wrong.

And AFAIK you have a chance cumulatively increasing per minute until the round ends.

What you think:
Every minute in a 25 minute match, you get a 2% roll to get a case

What I’m pretty certain actually happens:
After a 25 minute match you get a roll to get a case with a percentage chance equal to 2 times the round length, or 50%

(BazBling) #23

@bgyoshi said:

@M4st0d0n said:
AFAIK having a chance per minute is not the same as having a chance cumulatively increasing per minute.

Dawg your maths are just wrong.

And AFAIK you have a chance cumulatively increasing per minute until the round ends.

What you think:
Every minute in a 25 minute match, you get a 2% roll to get a case

What I’m pretty certain actually happens:
After a 25 minute match you get a roll to get a case with a percentage chance equal to 2 times the round length, or 50%

Am pretty sure its a static 30% chance to get a reg case drop after a match and statistically this would count SW’ two halves (as two matches), so 60% after a Full SW match.

(bgyoshi) #24

@BazBling said:
Am pretty sure its a static 30% chance to get a reg case drop after a match and statistically this would count SW’ two halves (as two matches), so 60% after a Full SW match.

This is where I got my info, from an old thread about getting arsenal crates instead of equipment cases

Open up the comments

(NexDroid) #25

I am pretty sure that this all is bullsh*t. I’ve played for 20h so far this event and didn’t get SINGLE crate from drop. I bought two crates for hexa-things and got leads so anyway. How the hell can I be so unlucky that this “every 50min you get a cache” doesn’t worok for me?

(BazBling) #26

@NexDroid said:
I am pretty sure that this all is bullsh*t. I’ve played for 20h so far this event and didn’t get SINGLE crate from drop. I bought two crates for hexa-things and got leads so anyway. How the hell can I be so unlucky that this “every 50min you get a cache” doesn’t worok for me?

RNGeebus bro…

(Terminal_6) #27

@NexDroid said:
I am pretty sure that this all is bullsh*t. I’ve played for 20h so far this event and didn’t get SINGLE crate from drop. I bought two crates for hexa-things and got leads so anyway. How the hell can I be so unlucky that this “every 50min you get a cache” doesn’t worok for me?

50 minutes per case has hardly been my experience. I got the trinket then ground out the hexads for 8 boosters, which took a lot more than 50 minutes to get my first case. I wouldn’t recommend buying cases with hexads because apparently they only have 1% chance for an event card. Grind out boosters, I usually get a card around 7-10 boosters, though some people seem to be luckier.

(bgyoshi) #28

@NexDroid said:

I am pretty sure that this all is bullsh*t. I’ve played for 20h so far this event and didn’t get SINGLE crate from drop. I bought two crates for hexa-things and got leads so anyway. How the hell can I be so unlucky that this “every 50min you get a cache” doesn’t worok for me?

@Terminal_6 said:

50 minutes per case has hardly been my experience. I got the trinket then ground out the hexads for 8 boosters, which took a lot more than 50 minutes to get my first case. I wouldn’t recommend buying cases with hexads because apparently they only have 1% chance for an event card. Grind out boosters, I usually get a card around 7-10 boosters, though some people seem to be luckier.

The 50 minutes for a case is for normal equipment cases, not the special event cases.

Getting a card around 7 - 10 boosters is in line with my calculations here.