Okay, some “math”. Its going to be fast and i might make an mistake so feel free to correct me if i made an mistake anywhere.
Lets assume we do Pubs and have a 100% ingame time. (Que of rankeds would break your neck if you were after good farm)
Lets aswell assume that you get 2k credits->200 cycles every 3 hours from missions.
You get 72 cycles and 720 credits which are worth another 72 cycles, that would lead to a total of 144 cycles per hour. Every 3 hours you get quests which lead to additional 200 cycles.
So if you play 1 Hour and finish your missions meanwhile you would get 344 cycles.
If you play another Hour without missions you get 144 cycles.
Therefor you could get 5056 cycles if you play 24 hours while finishing 24 missions.
If you play only every 3 hours for 1 hour and finish your missions you would end up at 2752 cycles a day.
To get a single suspect case you theoreticly need atleast 35.000 cycles if you go for cases or 12.500 cycles if you go for drop booster while you would need to drop one ingame after buying those booster.
Well somehow i forgot on what i wanted to point exactly but yea, these numbers above are very theoretical because you aint got 100% ingametime in the first place.
However, i think the chance to get an suspect case/suspect loadout is very…very²…very³ little.
Keep in mind, these eventcases cost 350 cycles thats 3,5k credits for a 1% chance of an suspect loadout. That means that suspect loadout cost you theoreticly 350.000 credits! The booster might be an better idea, however you might get some bronze/silver/gold loadouts from the eventcases which could add up in terms of the price difference between getting an suspect loadout from booster and eventcases.
Im not into all that fashion-things in games and im not into loadouts and trinkets, i play most mercs with bronze card and dot equip any trinket, but i have to say as far as i treasure this game which very f2p in terms of what you could buy with money, getting an suspect loadout is nearly impossible unless you hoarded up hundred thousands of credits. Its unreasonable and in my opinion it should be a little more achieveable.