I was going to make an entire thread for this, but I guess let’s keep the forums tidy:
I love that we have limited edition skins. I love that you can even get them entirely for free, through regular case drops (0.3% drop rate others have discussed and isn’t really my issue). The huge problem remains for me that to acquire a skin I like, I have the option to buy the £27.99 bundle of 10 elite cases + 1 CW case. That’s expensive for a start, but that’s nothing new and we’ve discussed it plenty of times before. So, let’s say I buy that, and I have my guaranteed card. I then have to go through the following:
- Hope that it rolls a merc I want to use. For the sake of this example, let’s assume I regularly use 8 mercs out of the 17 available.
- Of those 8 mercs, each has 9 loadouts. Without being too picky about the perfect augment/weapon combos, let’s just say each of those mercs has a weapon I have a strong dislike for and wouldn’t use if dropped. So we’re down to a possible 48 desirable loadouts (6 per merc).
- In total, there are ~153 loadout combinations.
- 48/153 gives you around a 31% chance of getting something usable. But, we’re doing this for a skin, so that needs accounting for.
- You have a 10% chance for the new skins per elite case. So let’s just say we splurge and get the 10 pack.
- Absolute worst case, you get your guaranteed limited bonus case (and the 31% chance of something useful out of it). Average case, you’ll get another from having bought 10. Best case, you get 11! If you’re that guy, just know that I hate you and hope you get silvers
- I think it’s safe to say the odds are forever not in your favour.
I’ve loved playing the game, and I’ll continue to do so. But if I’m going to spend any more money on the game, it’s likely going to be for skins (which believe me, I want to!) Before that happens though, I’d need a much better system to pull a purchase. Adding yet another layer of RNG to an already RNG-heavy system isn’t attractive. Yes, some people get pulled in and love the exclusivity of it, but surely on the whole people would spend more if you just gave us the chance to buy a box that drops a random skin to apply to a specific weapon?
So, for the sake of discussion: I already know some people agree with this, I’ve been whining over it for months, but I am really curious to hear from people who prefer the current system and why?
Bonus note: It’s been a long day, so if my half hearted math is off feel free to correct me, but you get the overall point - the house always wins the loadout RNG game. Obviously the numbers are an approximate example, but I tried to keep it realistic to my personal feelings towards mercs and usable loadouts. Overall I think I was pretty optimistic!