[quote=“Lumi;113690”]
Because you add one more option to the lot. Before him, you have like 9 chances out of the 9 times 17 mercs. After he is released it’ll 9 out of 9 times 18 mercs. Simple math, will make the probability of getting a specific loadout more reduced.[/quote]
That. There are no CW cards for Thunder so chances will decrease.
Because you add one more option to the lot. Before him, you have like 9 chances out of the 9 times 17 mercs. After he is released it’ll 9 out of 9 times 18 mercs. Simple math, will make the probability of getting a specific loadout more reduced.[/quote]
??? First you roll for the type of case, then you roll for the loadout. So it’s still 0.3% for CW.
Doing it the other way around would be sloppy and outright misleading.
Because you add one more option to the lot. Before him, you have like 9 chances out of the 9 times 17 mercs. After he is released it’ll 9 out of 9 times 18 mercs. Simple math, will make the probability of getting a specific loadout more reduced.[/quote]
??? First you roll for the type of case, then you roll for the loadout. So it’s still 0.3% for CW.
Doing it the other way around would be sloppy and outright misleading.[/quote]
It’s 0.3% for getting a CW, but in the scenario where you hit that 0.3%, you then have to roll the dice again to get a specific loadout. If you’re looking for a specific merc, the probability to get it out of the lot is reduced for each single merc once you have more mercs to chose from.
That’s how I see it too but in case of Thunder it doesn’t count cause there are no CW cards for Thunder.
Meanwhile I opened another 100 cases before the update arrives today (400k left):
lead 70
iron 28
bronz 1
silver 1
No CW or Cobalt this time :’(
[quote=“DeaDmaN;113719”][quote=“MarsRover;113699”]
??? First you roll for the type of case, then you roll for the loadout. So it’s still 0.3% for CW.
[/quote]
How do you know?
[/quote]
Because I expect a certain level of competence of SD.
Because you add one more option to the lot. Before him, you have like 9 chances out of the 9 times 17 mercs. After he is released it’ll 9 out of 9 times 18 mercs. Simple math, will make the probability of getting a specific loadout more reduced.[/quote]
??? First you roll for the type of case, then you roll for the loadout. So it’s still 0.3% for CW.
Doing it the other way around would be sloppy and outright misleading.[/quote]
It’s 0.3% for getting a CW, but in the scenario where you hit that 0.3%, you then have to roll the dice again to get a specific loadout. If you’re looking for a specific merc, the probability to get it out of the lot is reduced for each single merc once you have more mercs to chose from.[/quote]
There are no CW cards for Thunder so nothing changes for CW cards.
[quote=“MarsRover;113734”]
There are no CW cards for Thunder so nothing changes for CW cards.[/quote]
Did they actually say that there wouldn’t be? Usually, with every new merc addition we also get all the flavours of skins for him/her. Would make sense to see it happen for containment war loadouts too.
[quote=“Lumi;113764”][quote=“MarsRover;113734”]
There are no CW cards for Thunder so nothing changes for CW cards.[/quote]
Did they actually say that there wouldn’t be? Usually, with every new merc addition we also get all the flavours of skins for him/her. Would make sense to see it happen for containment war loadouts too.[/quote]
Yeah, they said so yesterday in their stream. No CW cards for Thunder.
http://fs5.directupload.net/images/151124/cctwwobj.jpg
http://fs5.directupload.net/images/151124/2bhs73yi.jpg
I’d go for the cases. There’s a 0.04956 chance (5%~) that you get no cw loadout, if that is worth the risk for you, go for it.
[quote=“Hibbsan;112748”]
There is no CW for Thunder.